On October 28,2008 Plexus held
a breakfast seminar to discuss the bailout.
That presentation is available on request.
On January 6,2009 The Treasury Department
released a Congressional report detailing
the expenditures so far through the Troubled
Asset Relief Program. Read
the Treasury’s report.
The report is not comprehensive but does give
a wide variety of how the initial $ 350 billion
was spent or promised.
• The smallest purchase made under the Capital
Purchase Program occurred on Dec. 23 when
the Treasury bought $1.8 million in preferred
stock from Chula Vista, Calif.-based Seacoast
Commerce Bank.
• The largest purchases made under the Capital
Purchase Program occurred on Oct. 28, when
the Treasury injected $25 billion each into
JP Morgan Chase & Co. JPM: 26.23 +5.30%),
Wells Fargo & Co. WFC: 24.35 +2.31%) and
Citigroup Inc. C: 5.71 +1.96%), which would
later on Dec. 31 receive an additional $20
billion through the Targeted Investment Program.
• American International Group Inc. AIG: 1.57
+1.95%)on Nov. 25, accepted $40 billion to
repay an earlier Federal Reserve loan and
keep afloat.
According to the numbers the Treasury reported
to Congress, total TARP expenditures of $262.9
billion. That’s $187.5 billion in invested
in 214 U.S. financial institutions through
the Capital Purchase Program, a $40 billion
preferred stock purchase from AIG, a $20 billion
purchase in preferred stock and warrants from
Citigroup on Dec. 31, and up to $15.4 billion
total invested in GM and GMAC (some of that
is still pending) as are Chrysler payments.
“As a result of this decision, Treasury effectively
has allocated the first $350 billion from
the TARP,” the Treasury said in a media statement
regarding the automakers’ bailout. “The actual
disbursement of this amount is subject to
approval of bank capital applications, many
of which remain with the regulators and will
not reach Treasury for review until early
next year.” See H:\Housing Wire financial
news for the mortgage TARP Expenditures; Questions
Remain.htm
ANOTHER $350 BILLION AND MAYBE MORE
On January12, 2009-- President-elect Obama
made his case to Congress for the release
of $350 billion in remaining federal bailout
funds. The Larry Summers letter -said Obama
aims to:
• Use "our full arsenal of tools"
to get credit flowing to consumers and businesses;
• Reform the oversight of the TARP program
and other responses to financial crisis;
• Use "smart, aggressive policies"
to reduce foreclosures;
• Toughen conditions for recipients of bailout
money; and
• Try to attract private capital and speed
the end of bailout plans.
Before Summers sent the letter to lawmakers,
Obama had asked President Bush to notify Congress
of Obama's intent to use the remaining TARP
funds. And later on January 12th, Bush sent
Congress the formal request. Congress approved
the request on January 15th.. Obama, meeting
with reporters, explained that he is seeking
the funding because the financial system remains
"fragile." " Obama said he
felt that it would be irresponsible for him,
with the first $350 billion already spent,
to enter into the administration without any
potential ammunition, should there be some
sort of emergency or weakening of the financial
systems,"
The Congressional Debate-Banks vs.
Homeowners
How the new administration plans to spend
the second half of the TARP funding has emerged
as a major issue on Capitol Hill. Lawmakers
on both sides of the aisle have expressed
unhappiness with the way Treasury Secretary
Henry Paulson has used the first $350 billion.
They object to how Treasury made direct investments
in banks with few strings attached and no
process for tracking how the banks are using
the money. Leading Democrats in Congress have
made clear that reducing foreclosures will
be among their chief priorities for the use
of the second half of TARP funds and Congressman
Frank has introduced $50 billion dollar legislation.
See Steve Pearlstein’s column in the Washington
Post 1/15/09 for a positive view on the bailout
so far. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wpdyn/content/article/2009/01/13/AR2009011303111.html.
The issues that are dominating the debate
are appropriate restrictions and accountability
including especially whether funds can be
used for acquisitions; whether the purchase
of toxic assets is still legitimate; whether
non-banks like autos should be helped and
whether the government is moving too fast
with both the bailout and the stimulus package
of $850 billion. As we distribute this update
the current debate is summarized in the 1/22/09
Washington Post as follows:
"THE TRAGIC history of financial crises
is a history of failures by governments to
act with the speed and force commensurate
with the severity of the crisis," Treasury
Secretary-designate Timothy F. Geithner declared
at his Senate confirmation hearing yesterday.
As if to illustrate the point, giant Bank
of America, which had seemed solid, faltered
in recent days. It took an additional $20
billion in federal help to offset the losses
of Merrill Lynch, which it absorbed in a Treasury-blessed
merger last fall. Bank shares generally plunged,
though the markets rallied yesterday. Investors
are afraid that despite many dramatic but
piecemeal government interventions, big U.S.
financial institutions are fundamentally unsound
and face collapse or nationalization.
Against this background, Mr. Geithner said
it was time for a "comprehensive"
approach. "In a crisis of this magnitude,
the most prudent course is the most forceful
course," he said. He is right. To be
sure, Mr. Geithner, though clearly able, stepped
on his message by failing to pay tens of thousands
of dollars in federal taxes on time. Still,
his apology and explanation -- that this was
an honest oversight, not an evasion -- appears
acceptable to most members of the Senate Finance
Committee. Barring new disclosures that clearly
contradict that claim, the Senate should confirm
him. We're mainly interested in what, exactly,
he and President Obama plan to do.
In that regard, the latest big idea, endorsed
by Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman
Sheila C. Bair and others, is to set up a
government-funded "bad bank," which
would purchase the toxic mortgage-backed assets
now clogging the balance sheets of U.S. banks.
Once freed of this burden, the banks would
be able to raise new capital and resume normal
lending. Meanwhile, the "bad bank"
would manage the assets on behalf of taxpayers,
eventually reselling them as the economy rebounds.
This idea has a familiar ring to it: It resembles
the original plan for the $700 billion Troubled
Asset Relief Program (TARP), before the money
was diverted to urgent capital infusions for
banks. A similar plan helped save Sweden from
a real-estate-related financial meltdown in
the early 1990s.
Pressed for the new administration's specific
thoughts on a "bad bank," Mr. Geithner
demurred. But we can think of several pitfalls.
The first, simply, is cost. Sweden ended up
spending 4 percent of its gross domestic product
on its bank cleanup. The United States' problem
today, however, is both larger and more difficult;
many of the toxic assets are complex securities
backed by bewilderingly sliced-and-diced debts.
The second problem, closely related to the
first, is how the government will set prices
for the assets in the first place. Too high,
and the banks make a windfall; too low, and
none of them participate. This thorny issue
undid the Bush administration's initial asset-buying
plan for the TARP.
Sweden mitigated these problems by requiring
participating banks to give the government
equity, as some banks have already done under
the TARP. U.S. banks might also have to accept
dividend and compensation limits as well as
other controls in return for definitive relief
from their toxic-asset burden. If the Obama
administration can answer these and other
design questions -- admittedly a big "if"
-- a "bad bank" could help repair
the financial system. Alternatives to a "bad
bank" remain under consideration. Perhaps
as important as the approach chosen is the
consistency with which it is carried out.
Banks, investors, businesses and households
need to know that Washington has a credible
plan and will stick to it.
On 1/25 both Biden and Pelosi said additional
bailout funds may be needed. On 1/26, Tim
Geithner was confirmed by the Senate. A big
and continuing topic of discussion is nationalization
of the banking system, which would wipe out
all shareholder equity, as opposed to bailouts,
which preserve equity but dilutes it. The
prevailing view now appears to be that toxic
assets must be purchased if the banks are
not to be nationalized. Thus tax payer funds
will be used to save taxpayer’s equity. See
NY Times and Washington
Post discussions:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/26/business/economy/26banks.html?_r=3&ref=business
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/01/27/AR2009012700457.html